July 31, 2007
Deadline (4 p.m. EST) for trading players without waivers in effect. MLR 10 (b)(1).End of waiver period (May 1 – July 31). Waivers secured on or after May 1, 2007, expire at 5 p.m. EST. Major League Waivers in effect between 4 p.m. and 5 p.m. EST may only be used for optional assignments.
There’s been a growing amount of speculation going on down in Philadelphia with the upcoming trade deadline. The first issue is whether they’ll be “buyers” or “sellers” - fortunately (or unfortunately perhaps if you’re Pat Gillick) the team is close enough to the division leading Mets and the final Wild Card spot that I think it’s pretty much a given that they’ll be buyers. Gillick has said as much:
Right now, we’re in it,” Gillick told the Wilmington News Journal by phone from Clearwater, Fla. “It’s really a tribute to Charlie and the coaching staff and the players. We’ve been operating four guys short in the pitching area, and we’ve held in there. Hopefully, within the next week, we can do something to tweak it a little bit.” (courtesy: scout.com)
So who might be dangled as potential trade bait? Chuck Hixson of scout.com weighs in:
“Not going anywhere: None of these players are touchable. Possibly if the Boston Red Sox were to offer their entire 25 man roster for one or two of these guys, a deal might get done, but it’s simply not going to happen. Ryan Howard, Chase Utley, Jimmy Rollins, Cole Hamels, Brett Myers.
Probably not going anywhere: These guys won’t come easily (or cheaply) for another team, but there is always the chance that someone could be willing to overpay to get them.Shane Victorino, Jamie Moyer.Victorino has developed into a solid everyday player and has also become a fan favorite. He fits in nicely with what the Phillies are trying to do and the odds of him heading anywhere aren’t very good since the Phillies hold him in pretty high regard. Moyer is like having a second pitching coach. He’s got one more season left on his contract and the Phillies want to have him around to help the Kyle Kendricks, J.A. Happs and J.D. Durbins of the world. Keep a bag packed, but you probably won’t need it: The Phillies have a few players that likely won’t be heading out, but it’s possible that they could be thrown into some deal to make it work.Carlos Ruiz, Rod Barajas, Wes Helms, Greg Dobbs, Abraham Nunez, Antonio Alfonseca, Jose Mesa, J.C. Romero, Ryan Madson.
Some teams are looking for catching and Jason Kendall and Jose Molina have already been dealt. The fact that the Phillies weren’t involved in any of those deals seems to point to them keeping both Barajas and Ruiz. Otherwise, the Phillies might have been part of one of those deals and they weren’t anywhere near involved. Helms and Dobbs don’t give a great third base platoon, but they’re all the Phillies have. You could deal one of them, but that would take away some of their effectiveness. Nunez is a nice player and could interest a team looking for infield help. It would be surprising if the Phillies aren’t at least asked about what it would take to get Nunez, which likely wouldn’t be too much.
As for the pitchers, if the Phillies are going to contend at all, they’ll need help from the likes of Alfonseca, Mesa, Romero and Madson. Still, if they give up on making the playoffs, they might be able to get something for them since a lot of contenders are desperate for relief help. Madson is the only one likely to bring anything respectable back in exchange.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. There are other players who have been talked about and could find themselves waking up as a “former Phillie” on August 1st.
Pat Burrell: The rumors have been flying for over a year and they aren’t likely to die down. The Phillies would love to find more of that “financial flexibility” that Pat Gillick loves and sending Burrell elsewhere would achieve just that. The problem is his low production, high contract and that nagging no-trade clause.
With Burrell picking up the pace lately and the Phillies willing to take very little in exchange, it’s not impossible that they could find a trading partner. It would have to be a place that Burrell would agree to go - the Angels and Dodgers come to mind - so they could get past his no-trade clause.
Aaron Rowand: The Phillies have made no attempt to re-sign Rowand, so odds are he’ll hit the free agent market and it will be tough for the Phillies to sign him once that happens. Here’s the thing; if they could pull something together to deal Burrell, some of the savings would go toward Rowand. Since that doesn’t seem likely, Rowand will exit one way or another.
The second part of the equation is whether the Phillies are buyers or sellers. If Gillick decides it’s time to flip the calendar to 2008, Rowand will likely be sent elsewhere. If he’s still taking a shot at this season, the Phillies will have to hang onto Rowand for the rest of the season.
Michael Bourn: Everybody has him taking over in center field next season with Rowand gone. But do the Phillies want Bourn and Shane Victorino to make up two-thirds of their outfield? Not that either is a bad player, but they don’t give a whole lot of power. It’s more likely that the Phillies would look at possibly moving Victorino to center and finding another bat for right field. If Gillick decides to go for it this year, Bourn is an attractive piece of meat to wave in front of potential trade partners.”
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Now we know this much: Like most teams in MLB, the Phillies need help in the pitching department. A deal moving Michael Bourn would most certainly result in Chris Roberson getting back to the OF. Chris is already on the 40 man roster, so I’d be willing to concede he’s made the Phillies when the roster expands in September. Here’s where it gets interesting then (blogger: Well, at least for me) - would a trade that sent a pitcher back to Philadelphia in exchange for a position player leave room for a “non 40 man roster” guy like Gary Burnham? We can certainly hope. I had a brief discussion with Gary earlier this week and making the roster of an MLB team is still his goal. He echoed what he told me back on Media Day - “I’ve just gotta keep producing, man”. I asked him if he was happy with how things had gone so far this year and he first responded that he was generally pretty happy, but he was clearly very aware of where he stood compared to last year in Reading - he recited his HR and RBI stats and seemed a little concerned that they were lower. Ever the cheerleader, I chimed in that his strike out to walk ratio was good, and he agreed - although he’d be happier if his OBP was a little higher. But then, what hitter wouldn’t?
I hope to have more speculation ahead of the trade deadline….